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Nigeria’s telecom sector faces investor caution as FDI plunges to two-decade low of $80.78m

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nigeria’s telecommunications sector has dropped sharply, raising concerns over investor confidence and the industry’s growth trajectory. According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), telecoms FDI fell to $80.78 million in the first half of 2023, a dramatic decline compared to over $417 million recorded during the same period in 2022. This represents one of the lowest inflows in nearly two decades, underscoring the waning appeal of the sector to foreign investors.

The telecom industry, long regarded as one of Nigeria’s most attractive sectors for FDI since liberalization in 2001, had been a major driver of growth, job creation, and innovation. However, the current decline reflects mounting challenges. Investors cite foreign exchange instability, multiple taxation, regulatory uncertainties, poor infrastructure, and difficulties in repatriating profits as key deterrents. The sharp depreciation of the naira, coupled with dollar shortages, has further eroded returns on investment, making the environment less competitive compared to other African markets.

Despite these headwinds, telecoms remain critical to Nigeria’s economy. The sector contributed 16 percent to Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q2 2023, fueled by increasing mobile penetration, internet use, and digital services adoption. Operators continue to expand broadband infrastructure and roll out 5G services, though at significant cost pressures. Analysts warn that without renewed foreign capital inflows, sustaining such investments may prove difficult, potentially slowing digital transformation goals.

Industry stakeholders emphasize the need for government reforms to restore investor confidence. Key recommendations include ensuring forex stability, harmonizing taxes, strengthening regulatory transparency, and offering incentives for infrastructure investment. Nigeria’s large, youthful population and expanding digital economy still offer long-term opportunities, but policy clarity and a friendlier business environment are seen as essential to attracting fresh FDI.

For now, many foreign investors remain cautious, weighing whether to deepen commitments or divert capital elsewhere. The government’s ability to implement investor-friendly reforms will determine if Nigeria can reverse the FDI slump and reposition telecoms as a magnet for global capital.

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