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When Economic Growth Doesn’t Create Jobs

Nigeria’s economy is growing, but the benefits of that growth are not reaching enough people through employment. Recent data show that economic expansion has remained positive, with growth driven largely by services, including information and communication technology (ICT), finance and real estate. Yet these sectors are not creating jobs on the scale required by Nigeria’s rapidly expanding labour force.

The World Bank has highlighted this disconnect, noting that some of Nigeria’s best-performing sectors, particularly finance and ICT, are important engines of economic growth but are not sources of mass employment. Many Nigerians lack the skills and opportunities needed to participate in these industries.

This creates what economists describe as jobless or low-employment growth—a situation where GDP increases without a corresponding rise in productive jobs and household incomes. Nigeria faces an especially difficult challenge because about 3.5 million people enter its labour force every year. The economy therefore needs to create jobs at a scale far beyond what high-productivity but relatively small sectors can provide.

The problem is also linked to the structure of the economy. Agriculture still employs a large share of Nigerians, but productivity and incomes remain low. At the same time, manufacturing and trade, which have traditionally offered opportunities for large numbers of workers, continue to face obstacles including unreliable electricity, high transport costs, limited access to finance and a difficult business environment.

Meanwhile, technology and financial services can generate significant economic value with relatively few workers because they are capital- and skills-intensive. This means that a company or sector can contribute substantially to GDP without employing millions of Nigerians.

The solution is not to slow the sectors that are already performing well. Instead, Nigeria needs to broaden the sources of growth. More investment should flow into sectors capable of generating large numbers of productive jobs, including manufacturing, agro-processing, construction, healthcare, tourism and infrastructure. The World Bank identifies infrastructure, agribusiness, healthcare, tourism and value-added manufacturing as sectors with strong potential to create local employment.

Improving electricity supply, transport networks, access to affordable finance and workers’ skills will be crucial. Nigeria also needs policies that help small businesses grow into larger, more productive employers.

Ultimately, GDP growth should not be measured only by how much the economy expands, but also by whether that expansion improves livelihoods. Nigeria’s current challenge is to turn economic growth into productive jobs, higher incomes and broader prosperity. Without that transition, strong GDP figures may continue to coexist with widespread economic insecurity.

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